Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.110253 0.118431 0.126905 0.136346 0.146576 0.157333 0.169508
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.095854 0.107712 0.120624 0.135754 0.153028 0.172174 0.195052
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.089926 0.104223 0.120333 0.139884 0.163041 0.189680 0.222770
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.082759 0.098300 0.116295 0.138757 0.166161 0.198653 0.240317
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.076871 0.093240 0.112640 0.137450 0.168502 0.206304 0.256142
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.070955 0.087642 0.107825 0.134187 0.167933 0.209979 0.266795
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.068387 0.085943 0.107593 0.136450 0.174197 0.222297 0.288870
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.064277 0.082012 0.104255 0.134437 0.174680 0.226992 0.300959
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.060922 0.078837 0.101666 0.133165 0.175928 0.232573 0.314309
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.057075 0.074804 0.097721 0.129824 0.174126 0.233825 0.321580
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.054296 0.072042 0.095300 0.128365 0.174725 0.238256 0.333359
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.052366 0.070319 0.094171 0.128571 0.177565 0.245824 0.349865
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.049580 0.067359 0.091291 0.126295 0.176920 0.248606 0.359829
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047565 0.065382 0.089687 0.125746 0.178713 0.254966 0.375439
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.047117 0.065570 0.091095 0.129538 0.186944 0.271050 0.406530
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.045192 0.063560 0.089273 0.128504 0.187925 0.276319 0.421123
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.043352 0.061590 0.087413 0.127304 0.188553 0.281011 0.434954
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.041113 0.058943 0.084455 0.124308 0.186267 0.281056 0.441251
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040446 0.058585 0.084842 0.126386 0.191887 0.293630 0.468521
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038748 0.056618 0.082746 0.124537 0.191228 0.296181 0.479253
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037330 0.055020 0.081140 0.123369 0.191573 0.300310 0.492778
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035508 0.052738 0.078404 0.120301 0.188698 0.299026 0.496900
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.034216 0.051227 0.076798 0.118960 0.188564 0.302218 0.508888